Defense Priorities Defense Priorities
  • Policy Topics
    • US-Israel-Iran
    • Ukraine-Russia
    • Western Hemisphere
    • NATO
    • China
    • Syria
  • Analysis
    • Research
    • Q&A
  • Programs
    • Grand Strategy Program
    • Military Analysis Program
    • Asia Program
    • Middle East Program
  • Experts
  • Events
  • Media
  • About
    • Mission & Vision
    • People
    • Jobs
    • Contact
  • Donate
Select Page
Home / Ukraine-Russia / After strong-arming a ceasefire in Gaza, Trump tries to do it again in Ukraine
Ukraine‑Russia, Air power, Military analysis

October 16, 2025

After strong-arming a ceasefire in Gaza, Trump tries to do it again in Ukraine

By Jennifer Kavanagh

“None of this is going to change the calculus,” says Jennifer Kavanagh, senior fellow and director of military analysis at Defense Priorities, a Washington think tank promoting restraint in U.S. foreign policy. “Putin has shown that he has been willing to bear these costs,” she adds, “and I see no reason to think that has changed.”

Underpinning the argument that the talk of Tomahawks is largely political messaging is the reality that even if Mr. Trump announces Friday that he’s selling the long-range missiles to Ukraine, the weapons system couldn’t be operational in the war for months at least.

The Tomahawks would require a launching system that isn’t off-the-shelf available, experts note.

“As it is right now, there’s no way for Ukraine to launch the Tomahawks even if we provided them,” Dr. Kavanagh says, “so, really, it’s nothing that would be helpful today.”

Read at The Christian Science Monitor

Author

Jennifer
Kavanagh

Senior Fellow & Director of Military Analysis

Defense Priorities

More on Europe

Op-edNuclear weapons, Europe and Eurasia, Russia

Russia Is Offering An Informal Nuclear Deal. Washington Should Take It.

By John Grover

February 25, 2026

Op-edNATO, Alliances, Europe and Eurasia

Breaking Europe’s Trans-Atlantic Habit: The End of the Senior Partner Myth

By Moritz Graefrath

February 24, 2026

Op-edNATO, Alliances, Ukraine‑Russia

Europe debates the bomb

By Daniel DePetris

February 19, 2026

Op-edNATO, Alliances, Europe and Eurasia

Marco Rubio’s Munich speech was an ultimatum to Europe

By Jennifer Kavanagh

February 15, 2026

Op-edUkraine‑Russia, Europe and Eurasia, Russia, Ukraine

Ukraine and Russia are both suffering as the war enters its fifth year

By Daniel DePetris

February 10, 2026

Op-edGrand strategy, Greenland, NATO, Western Hemisphere

Donald Trump is endangering U.S. alliances

By Christopher McCallion

January 30, 2026

Events on Ukraine-Russia

See All Events
virtualUkraine‑Russia, Air power, Diplomacy, Drones, Europe and Eurasia, Land power, Military analysis, Russia, Ukraine

Ukraine’s critical choice: Pursue peace or fight on

April 16, 2025
virtualUkraine‑Russia, Europe and Eurasia, Russia, Ukraine

Trump and Ukraine: Prolonging or ending the war

December 13, 2024
virtualNATO, Alliances, Europe and Eurasia, Russia, Ukraine, Ukraine‑Russia

A ‘bridge’ to NATO or false hope for Ukraine?

July 12, 2024

Receive expert foreign policy analysis

Join the hub of realism and restraint

Expert updates and analysis to enhance your understanding of vital U.S. national security issues

Defense Priority Mono Logo

Our mission is to inform citizens, thought leaders, and policymakers of the importance of a strong, dynamic military—used more judiciously to protect America’s narrowly defined national interests—and promote a realistic grand strategy prioritizing restraint, diplomacy, and free trade to ensure U.S. security.

  • Research
  • Experts
  • About
  • For Media
  • Jobs
  • Donate
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms and Conditions
  • Contact
© 2026 Defense Priorities Foundation. All rights reserved.