Such a deal would remove the United States from the current quagmire in the Middle East, open the Strait of Hormuz, and guard against future conflict between the United States, Israel, and Iran.

Absent an imminent threat, the joint U.S.-Israel war against Iran lacks justification and risks American lives, a widening war, and global economic harm. Even with myriad tactical military success, Washington’s goals of regime change and capitulation on weapons production are unlikely to be achieved.

Keeping so many U.S. troops in Europe undermines the incentive for European states to do more on defense. Washington should start leaving Europe by reducing its force structure on a timetable toward an ultimately full withdrawal.

This series explores the scenario of an all-out Chinese invasion of Taiwan, the U.S. military options in such an event, how nearby countries might play a role, along with additional military and strategic analysis that should inform policy.

Trump hopes a blockade of Iranian ports will deal Tehran a final and swift blow that forces its surrender, but this is unlikely to succeed. Blockades work slowly over time, and Iran’s leaders, fighting an existential war, can survive longer than Trump thinks.

An enduring settlement must offer credible assurances to both Moscow & Kyiv that address their core security concerns.

DEFP experts provide realistic, credible analysis of breaking news, unfolding events, and complex policy issues. Our analysts help simplify complex issues and provide accessible, concrete policy recommendations.