Adding Finland And Sweden To NATO Is Not Risk-Free

By Michael Hall

In an expected move, NATO has now accepted the applications of Finland and Sweden and formally invited the Nordic countries to join the alliance. A response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the accession process for Helsinki and Stockholm has been fast-tracked, brushing aside critical questions dealing with U.S. security.

The matter of Finland joining NATO is especially concerning. While every expansion of NATO adds to the U.S. security burden, not every addition does so in the same way. It is of questionable wisdom to incorporate a country like North Macedonia—but at least the threats facing Skopje are limited and it does not border an adversarial state. The same cannot be said for Finland, which—unlike Sweden—shares an 830-mile border with Russia. In other words, adding Finland would double the NATO-Russia border.

And who would be tasked with defending Finland’s border? Despite some recent moves by European allies, including Germany, to beef up defense capabilities, it’s worth noting that NATO remains a U.S.-led alliance, with U.S. troops stationed throughout the continent, adding more NATO troops to the Eastern front after Russia’s February invasion of Ukraine—and now sending even more U.S. troops over. All this before Finland even becomes a member and thus adds more territory to defend. This matter should be discussed at the NATO summit taking place in Madrid—and a wise policy would be for the U.S. to shift the burden of defending Finland’s border onto Europeans, rather than risking American lives to defend Finland’s border.

Russia has acted on perceived threats in countries bordering it before. Of course, there is the current invasion of Ukraine, which should be understood as –at least in part—a response to the fact that though Ukraine was not in NATO, NATO was in Ukraine. And Russia perceived this as a threat. Beyond the current invasion, Russia also sent troops to quell what Moscow labeled a “color revolution” in Kazakhstan earlier this year; before that, Russia annexed Crimea in 2014, a consequence of the Euro Maidan protests and their fallout in Ukraine; before that, an invasion of Georgia in August 2008 after President George W. Bush promised NATO membership for Georgia mere months before. A clear pattern emerges—Russia perceives Western designs on its borders, and acts to preemptively quash the supposed threat.

This piece was originally published in 1945 on June 30, 2022. Read more HERE.