Jennifer Kavanagh, a senior fellow and director of military analysis at Defense Priorities, said being able to carry out the long-range strikes wouldn’t meaningfully improve Ukraine’s position in the war.
Supplies of ATACMS are limited, and there are not many targets they could hit, she said. “Ukraine’s problem right now isn’t lack of weapons or type of weapons, it’s manpower, and Russia just has so many more people, even putting aside the North Korean forces,” she said [. . .]
Kavanagh said Ukraine launching long-range strikes into Russia in the two months before Trump is inaugurated could provoke Putin to intensify his assault on Ukraine.
“Putin has an incentive to try to increase his leverage and his bargaining position as much as possible,” she said. “He has no incentive to be restrained in his actions towards Ukraine.”
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