Defense Priorities Defense Priorities
  • Policy Topics
    • Israel-Iran
    • Ukraine-Russia
    • NATO
    • China
    • Syria
  • Research
    • Briefs
    • Explainers
    • Reports
  • Programs
    • Grand Strategy Program
    • Military Analysis Program
    • Asia Program
    • Middle East Program
  • Experts
  • Events
  • Media
  • About
    • Mission & Vision
    • People
    • Jobs
    • Contact
  • Donate
Select Page
Home / Ukraine-Russia / A Ukraine minerals deal is not the win Trump thinks it is
Ukraine‑Russia, Europe and Eurasia, Russia, Ukraine

March 7, 2025

A Ukraine minerals deal is not the win Trump thinks it is

By William Walldorf

One good thing that came from the spat between Donald Trump and Volodymyr Zelensky last week at the White House was that it seemed to put a minerals deal between the U.S. and Ukraine in jeopardy.

Now, unfortunately, cooler heads seem to be prevailing.

Zelensky said on Tuesday that he is “ready to sign” the deal and Trump has expressed his appreciation for Ukraine’s willingness to do so. Officials from both countries have indicated that they will meet in Saudi Arabia next week to discuss the war in Ukraine and the minerals deal.

From what we know, the deal would create a fund from sales of Ukrainian minerals for post-war reconstruction of Ukraine, repay the U.S. for aid to Ukraine in its war against Russia, and create opportunities for U.S. mining companies that will purportedly reduce U.S. mineral dependence on China. American officials have hailed the agreement as a “co-investment” that’s a “win-win” for both the U.S. and Ukraine.

Finding ways for Ukraine to rebuild using its own resources is a good thing, as is creating opportunities for U.S. businesses abroad. But Trump needs to beware of the minerals trap—the costly, no-holds-barred pursuit of rare-earth minerals that sometimes gets great powers into trouble strategically.

Read at TIME

Author

Photo of Will Walldorf

William
Walldorf

Senior Fellow

Defense Priorities

More on Eurasia

op-edRussia, Europe and Eurasia, Ukraine, Ukraine‑Russia

Trump’s tough talk won’t end war in Ukraine

By Daniel DePetris

July 26, 2025

ExplainerNATO, China, Russia

Keep NATO focused on Europe, not China

By Thomas P. Cavanna

July 24, 2025

op-edUkraine‑Russia, Europe and Eurasia, Russia, Ukraine

How Trump’s 50-day deadline threat against Putin will backfire

By Jennifer Kavanagh

July 15, 2025

op-edUkraine‑Russia, Europe and Eurasia, Russia, Ukraine

Vladimir Putin’s conduct causes Donald Trump to have a change of heart on Ukraine

By Daniel DePetris

July 15, 2025

In the mediaUkraine‑Russia, Military analysis

Will Trump’s shift on arming Ukraine help end Russia’s invasion? Experts weigh in

Featuring Jennifer Kavanagh

July 15, 2025

op-edUkraine‑Russia, Europe and Eurasia, Russia, Ukraine

What Trump’s Ukraine aid pause says about America’s broken foreign policy

By Daniel DePetris

July 14, 2025

Events on Ukraine-Russia

See All Events
virtualUkraine‑Russia, Air power, Diplomacy, Drones, Europe and Eurasia, Land power, Military analysis, Russia, Ukraine

Past Virtual Event: Ukraine’s critical choice: Pursue peace or fight on

April 16, 2025
virtualUkraine‑Russia, Europe and Eurasia, Russia, Ukraine

Past Virtual Event: Trump and Ukraine: Prolonging or ending the war

December 13, 2024
virtualNATO, Alliances, Europe and Eurasia, Russia, Ukraine, Ukraine‑Russia

Past Virtual Event: A ‘bridge’ to NATO or false hope for Ukraine?

July 12, 2024

Receive expert foreign policy analysis

Join the hub of realism and restraint

Expert updates and analysis to enhance your understanding of vital U.S. national security issues

Defense Priority Mono Logo

Our mission is to inform citizens, thought leaders, and policymakers of the importance of a strong, dynamic military—used more judiciously to protect America’s narrowly defined national interests—and promote a realistic grand strategy prioritizing restraint, diplomacy, and free trade to ensure U.S. security.

  • About
  • For Media
  • Jobs
  • Donate
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms and Conditions
  • Contact
© 2025 Defense Priorities All Right Reserved