Defense Priorities Defense Priorities
  • Policy Topics
    • US-Israel-Iran
    • Ukraine-Russia
    • Western Hemisphere
    • NATO
    • China
  • Analysis
    • Policy Papers
    • Symposia
    • Q&A
    • Polls
    • Grand Strategy Explained
    • Target Taiwan
  • Programs
    • Grand Strategy Program
    • Military Analysis Program
    • Asia Program
    • Middle East Program
  • Experts
  • Events
  • Media
  • About
    • Mission & Vision
    • People
    • Jobs
    • Contact
  • Donate
Select Page
Home / Ukraine-Russia / Is the risk of nuclear escalation rising between Russia and the west?
Ukraine‑Russia, Russia, Ukraine

June 10, 2024

Is the risk of nuclear escalation rising between Russia and the west?

By Rajan Menon

Warnings about nuclear escalation in Ukraine are now being issued with increasing frequency and urgency, due to dramatic changes in policy by some of Kyiv’s main western supporters.

Some European countries, including Britain, France and Germany, and the United States, have changed course, giving Ukraine the green light to use their weapons against sites within Russia. The latter two limited their permission to Ukrainian strikes aimed at defending Kharkiv province—although, according one report, Joe Biden may even lift that geographic restriction, as well. These steps are responses to devastating Russian strikes on Ukraine, many from points beyond its reach.

These changes in western policy—plus the French president Emmanuel Macron’s plans to send French troops to train Ukrainian forces on site and even possibly to fight—have heightened anxieties that Russia may undertake nuclear escalation in retaliation. Vladimir Putin has alluded to this possibility since the day he invaded Ukraine, as have other senior Russian officials, most notably Dmitry Medvedev, the deputy chairman of the security council of Russia, who previously served as prime minister and president, and may hold the record within Russian officialdom for the frequency of nuclear threats.

Read at The Guardian

Author

Photo of Rajan Menon

Rajan
Menon

Former Non-Resident Senior Fellow

Defense Priorities

More on Europe

Op-edUkraine‑Russia, Europe and Eurasia, NATO, Russia, Ukraine

Russia does not want a war with Europe

By Jennifer Kavanagh

August 28, 2026

Op-edNATO, Europe and Eurasia

Leave Europe to the Europeans

By Jennifer Kavanagh

August 28, 2026

ExplainerTaiwan, Asia, Europe and Eurasia, Russia, Ukraine, Ukraine‑Russia

Accommodation: An underutilized strategy for great-power rivals

By Moritz Graefrath

August 27, 2026

In the mediaNATO, Europe and Eurasia

Don’t Freak Out Over the Pentagon’s Europe Plans

Featuring Jennifer Kavanagh

August 27, 2026

Op-edUkraine‑Russia, Europe and Eurasia, Russia, Ukraine

Zelensky is running out of political cover

By Jennifer Kavanagh

August 20, 2026

Explainer

The role of moral hazard in the Ukraine war

By Christopher McCallion

August 18, 2026

Events on Ukraine-Russia

See All Events
virtualUkraine‑Russia, Air power, Diplomacy, Drones, Europe and Eurasia, Land power, Military analysis, Russia, Ukraine

Ukraine’s critical choice: Pursue peace or fight on

April 16, 2025
virtualUkraine‑Russia, Europe and Eurasia, Russia, Ukraine

Trump and Ukraine: Prolonging or ending the war

December 13, 2024
virtualNATO, Alliances, Europe and Eurasia, Russia, Ukraine, Ukraine‑Russia

A ‘bridge’ to NATO or false hope for Ukraine?

July 12, 2024

Receive expert foreign policy analysis

Join the hub of realism and restraint

Expert updates and analysis to enhance your understanding of vital U.S. national security issues

Defense Priority Mono Logo

Our mission is to inform citizens, thought leaders, and policymakers of the importance of a strong, dynamic military—used more judiciously to protect America’s narrowly defined national interests—and promote a realistic grand strategy prioritizing restraint, diplomacy, and free trade to ensure U.S. security.

  • Experts
  • Papers
  • Symposia
  • Q&A
  • Polls
  • Events
  • Media
  • Terms and Conditions
  • Privacy Policy
  • About
  • Jobs
  • Contact
  • Donate
© 2026 Defense Priorities Foundation. All rights reserved.