Defense Priorities Defense Priorities
  • Policy Topics
    • Ukraine-Russia
    • NATO
    • China
    • Syria
    • Israel-Iran
  • Research
    • Briefs
    • Explainers
    • Reports
  • Programs
    • Grand Strategy Program
    • Military Analysis Program
    • Asia Program
    • Middle East Program
  • Experts
  • Events
  • Media
  • About
    • Mission & Vision
    • People
    • Jobs
    • Contact
  • Donate
Select Page
Home / Iran / Did Donald Trump’s bombing of Iran fail? What we know
Iran, Israel‑Iran, Middle East

June 25, 2025

Did Donald Trump’s bombing of Iran fail? What we know

Jennifer Kavanagh, senior fellow and director of military analysis at Defense Priorities, told Newsweek that it was hard to see how much damage was done to Iran’s nuclear sites although U.S. and Israeli strikes were likely to have set back the Iranian program.

However, Iran still has hundreds of scientists who can reconstitute the program, Israeli assassinations aside, she said.

U.S. intelligence before the strikes had suggested that Iran was far from having a weaponized nuclear capability and was not racing for a bomb, although whether that calculation changes afterward is hard to say, added Kavanagh.

Jennifer Kavanagh, senior fellow & director of military analysis, Defense Priorities: “From the point of the Iranian regime, it would be reasonable to think that having a usable nuclear capability is the only safeguard for their security after twice having the rug being pulled out from under them on negotiations.”

Read at Newsweek

Featuring

Jennifer
Kavanagh

Senior Fellow & Director of Military Analysis

Defense Priorities

More on Middle East

op-edAfghanistan, Counterterrorism, Middle East

Turns out leaving Afghanistan did not unleash terror on U.S. or region

By Rosemary Kelanic

August 28, 2025

op-edIsrael‑Hamas, Israel, Israel‑Iran

America’s relationship with Israel is a moral hazard

By William Walldorf

August 26, 2025

op-edMiddle East, Israel, Syria

Donald Trump tries to make history in Syria and Lebanon

By Daniel DePetris

August 26, 2025

op-edSyria, Middle East

Trump’s Syria gamble

By Daniel DePetris

August 22, 2025

op-edIsrael‑Hamas, Israel, Middle East

The U.S. must stop enabling Israel’s destruction of Gaza

By Rosemary Kelanic

August 14, 2025

op-edAfghanistan, China, Middle East, Russia

Washington shouldn’t fear Russia and China seeking influence in Afghanistan

By Lyle Goldstein

August 9, 2025

Events on Iran

See All Events
virtualMiddle East, Basing and force posture, Diplomacy, Houthis, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Israel‑Hamas, Military analysis, Syria

Past Virtual Event: Trump in the Middle East: Impacts, implications, and alternatives

May 16, 2025
virtualHouthis, Iran, Israel‑Hamas, Middle East, Yemen

Past Virtual Event: Houthi conundrum: defend, degrade, or defer

March 28, 2024
virtualMiddle East, Iran, Israel‑Hamas, Israel‑Iran, Syria, Yemen

Past Virtual Event: Keeping the U.S. out of war in the Middle East

January 16, 2024

Receive expert foreign policy analysis

Join the hub of realism and restraint

Expert updates and analysis to enhance your understanding of vital U.S. national security issues

Defense Priority Mono Logo

Our mission is to inform citizens, thought leaders, and policymakers of the importance of a strong, dynamic military—used more judiciously to protect America’s narrowly defined national interests—and promote a realistic grand strategy prioritizing restraint, diplomacy, and free trade to ensure U.S. security.

  • About
  • For Media
  • Jobs
  • Donate
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms and Conditions
  • Contact
© 2025 Defense Priorities All Right Reserved