Defense Priorities Defense Priorities
  • Policy Topics
    • Ukraine-Russia
    • Israel-Hamas
    • NATO
    • China
    • Syria
    • North Korea
  • Research
    • Briefs
    • Explainers
    • Reports
  • Programs
    • Grand Strategy Program
    • Military Analysis Program
    • Asia Program
    • Middle East Program
  • Experts
  • Events
  • Media
  • About
    • Mission & Vision
    • People
    • Jobs
    • Contact
  • Donate
Select Page
Home / China / The U.S. and China must avert a nuclear standoff
China, Asia, Nuclear weapons

March 19, 2025

The U.S. and China must avert a nuclear standoff

By Lyle Goldstein

U.S. President Donald Trump said last month he wants to open nuclear arms control talks with China and Russia. In the past, China has resisted a trilateral approach — a hesitancy that has some logic to it given China’s nuclear arsenal is dwarfed in comparison with the U.S. and Russia. While it’s likely true that U.S. pressure to end the Russia-Ukraine War is fostering some concern about Washington’s security commitments across the Asia-Pacific, all concerned will benefit from greater focus on easing regional nuclear tensions.

The disparity between U.S. and Chinese nuclear arsenals has indeed led China to build more nuclear weapons and even construct an enormous military headquarters near Beijing that will be 10 times the size of the Pentagon, complete with deep underground units built to withstand nuclear strikes. Despite Beijing’s anxiety, Trump has some realistic options to defuse the nuclear rivalry.

Could a flare-up over Taiwan, or even some disputed reef in the South China Sea, escalate into a nuclear war? Unfortunately, the answer is yes, and the prospects for such a war are increasing.

China’s regional ambitions and its rapid nuclear weapons buildup are partly to blame. But so are myriad U.S. foreign policy and defense signals.

Read at Nikkei Asian Review

Author

Photo of Lyle Goldstein

Lyle
Goldstein

Director, Asia Program

Defense Priorities

More on Asia

op-edGrand strategy, Air power, Asia, Balance of power, Global posture, Land power, Naval power

The Pentagon Is Ignoring Its Own Strategy

By Jennifer Kavanagh

May 7, 2025

ExplainerMiddle East, China, Europe and Eurasia

China can’t dominate the Middle East

By Rosemary Kelanic

May 5, 2025

In the mediaChina, Asia, Taiwan

Trump fires national security adviser, signaling new China line

Featuring Jennifer Kavanagh

May 2, 2025

op-edChina, Asia, Taiwan

Kavanagh and Wertheim Respond: Why Taiwan’s Survival Depends on Realistic Defense

By Jennifer Kavanagh and Stephen Wertheim

April 28, 2025

op-edChina, Air power, Asia, Balance of power, Global posture, Land power, Naval power

US should look before it leaps into South China Sea

April 18, 2025

op-edChina, Asia

Trump’s Trade War Threatens To Derail U.S.-China Relations

By Daniel DePetris

April 17, 2025

Events on China

See All Events
virtualChina, Alliances, Balance of power, Diplomacy, Grand strategy, Russia

Past Virtual Event: China-Russia: Cooperation or a no-limits alliance?

April 3, 2025
virtualAsia, Basing and force posture, Burden sharing, China, Grand strategy

Past Virtual Event: Rethinking U.S. strategy in East Asia: do more bases mean more deterrence?

January 24, 2024
virtualChina, Asia, Grand strategy

Past Virtual Event: Rocks, reefs, and resolve? Examining the purpose of U.S. policy in the South China Sea

December 12, 2023

Receive expert foreign policy analysis

Join the hub of realism and restraint

Expert updates and analysis to enhance your understanding of vital U.S. national security issues

Defense Priority Mono Logo

Our mission is to inform citizens, thought leaders, and policymakers of the importance of a strong, dynamic military—used more judiciously to protect America’s narrowly defined national interests—and promote a realistic grand strategy prioritizing restraint, diplomacy, and free trade to ensure U.S. security.

  • About
  • For Media
  • Jobs
  • Donate
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms and Conditions
  • Contact
© 2025 Defense Priorities All Right Reserved