Defense Priorities Defense Priorities
  • Policy Topics
    • Ukraine-Russia
    • NATO
    • China
    • Syria
    • Israel-Iran
  • Research
    • Briefs
    • Explainers
    • Reports
  • Programs
    • Grand Strategy Program
    • Military Analysis Program
    • Asia Program
    • Middle East Program
  • Experts
  • Events
  • Media
  • About
    • Mission & Vision
    • People
    • Jobs
    • Contact
  • Donate
Select Page
Home / Iran / Iran braces for Israeli attack that could change the Middle East forever
Iran, Israel, Israel‑Hamas, Middle East

October 3, 2024

Iran braces for Israeli attack that could change the Middle East forever

With the election looming in November, Michael DiMino, a former CIA analyst now serving as a fellow and public policy manager at Defense Priorities, said Israel was “pushing to change the facts on the ground as much as they can” during a virtual discussion hosted by his think tank.

“And I think similarly, the Iranians are going to try to hold back,” he added, “maybe in the hopes that the Harris administration is more willing to back to something that looks like the JCPOA or something similar.”

DiMino served as a watch officer at the CIA operations center the morning that Iran shot down a U.S. drone during a previous period of heightened tensions that nearly led to direct U.S. strikes on Iran in 2019. Today, he described Iran’s missile strike against Israel as “fairly moderate” given the string of Israeli operations for which it was intended to serve as retaliation.

Responding to Newsweek’s question regarding the limits of what Iranian officials describe as their “restraint,” DiMino said, “Everybody’s got a line,” and that line “could be a serious attack on their nuclear infrastructure.

Read at Newsweek

Featuring

Photo of Michael DiMino

Michael
DiMino

Former Public Policy Manager & Fellow

Defense Priorities

More on Middle East

op-edAfghanistan, Counterterrorism, Middle East

Turns out leaving Afghanistan did not unleash terror on U.S. or region

By Rosemary Kelanic

August 28, 2025

op-edIsrael‑Hamas, Israel, Israel‑Iran

America’s relationship with Israel is a moral hazard

By William Walldorf

August 26, 2025

op-edMiddle East, Israel, Syria

Donald Trump tries to make history in Syria and Lebanon

By Daniel DePetris

August 26, 2025

op-edSyria, Middle East

Trump’s Syria gamble

By Daniel DePetris

August 22, 2025

op-edIsrael‑Hamas, Israel, Middle East

The U.S. must stop enabling Israel’s destruction of Gaza

By Rosemary Kelanic

August 14, 2025

op-edAfghanistan, China, Middle East, Russia

Washington shouldn’t fear Russia and China seeking influence in Afghanistan

By Lyle Goldstein

August 9, 2025

Events on Iran

See All Events
virtualMiddle East, Basing and force posture, Diplomacy, Houthis, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Israel‑Hamas, Military analysis, Syria

Past Virtual Event: Trump in the Middle East: Impacts, implications, and alternatives

May 16, 2025
virtualHouthis, Iran, Israel‑Hamas, Middle East, Yemen

Past Virtual Event: Houthi conundrum: defend, degrade, or defer

March 28, 2024
virtualMiddle East, Iran, Israel‑Hamas, Israel‑Iran, Syria, Yemen

Past Virtual Event: Keeping the U.S. out of war in the Middle East

January 16, 2024

Receive expert foreign policy analysis

Join the hub of realism and restraint

Expert updates and analysis to enhance your understanding of vital U.S. national security issues

Defense Priority Mono Logo

Our mission is to inform citizens, thought leaders, and policymakers of the importance of a strong, dynamic military—used more judiciously to protect America’s narrowly defined national interests—and promote a realistic grand strategy prioritizing restraint, diplomacy, and free trade to ensure U.S. security.

  • About
  • For Media
  • Jobs
  • Donate
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms and Conditions
  • Contact
© 2025 Defense Priorities All Right Reserved