Defense Priorities Defense Priorities
  • Policy Topics
    • US-Israel-Iran
    • Ukraine-Russia
    • Western Hemisphere
    • NATO
    • China
  • Analysis
    • Policy Papers
    • Symposia
    • Q&A
    • Polls
    • Grand Strategy Explained
    • Target Taiwan
  • Programs
    • Grand Strategy Program
    • Military Analysis Program
    • Asia Program
    • Middle East Program
  • Experts
  • Events
  • Media
  • About
    • Mission & Vision
    • People
    • Jobs
    • Contact
  • Donate
Select Page
Home / Iran / Trump should seek to avoid war with Iran
Iran, Israel‑Hamas, Middle East

December 20, 2024

Trump should seek to avoid war with Iran

By John Kitch II

With only a month until Donald Trump’s inauguration as president, the Middle East is more chaotic than it has been in years. In early December, Bashar al-Assad fled to Moscow, as his regime in Syria collapsed. The western media has become focused on what this will mean for Turkey, the Kurds, and Russia. Meanwhile, Israel has launched barrages of airstrikes on military targets across Syria.

While Syria is currently getting the lion’s share of attention, guiding American policy regarding Iran could be Trump’s most important strategic challenge in 2025. Within the President-elect’s incoming foreign policy team there is a growing push to consider preemptive airstrikes against Iran’s nuclear program. Proponents of this approach cite a recent intelligence assessment, which makes the case that Iran is more likely to rely on nuclear deterrence now that it has suffered the strategic defeat of its allies in Lebanon, Gaza, and Syria. It is not only American analysts who are more seriously considering a strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities. Reporting from The Times of Israel suggests that key figures in the IDF feel that the time is right for a direct Israeli strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities.

Read at Real Clear World

Author

John
Kitch II

Contributing Fellow

Defense Priorities

More on Middle East

ExplainerIran, Air power, Basing and force posture, Middle East, Military analysis

The proliferation of accuracy and vulnerability of military bases

By Benjamin Friedman

September 24, 2026

Op-edHouthis, Middle East, Yemen

Trump is right to avoid a war with the Houthis

By Daniel DePetris

September 22, 2026

Op-edUS‑Israel‑Iran, Iran, Middle East

Iran is proving it can push America out of the Middle East

By Daniel DePetris

September 18, 2026

In the mediaMiddle East

Iran war puts future U.S. military presence in Middle East in question

September 17, 2026

Op-edUS‑Israel‑Iran, Iran, Middle East

Will Iran become a two-front war?

By Daniel DePetris

September 15, 2026

In the mediaUS‑Israel‑Iran, Middle East

Oil hits $100 a barrel for first time since July as U.S. and Iran trade strikes

Featuring Rosemary Kelanic

September 9, 2026

Events on Iran

See All Events
virtualMiddle East, Basing and force posture, Diplomacy, Houthis, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Israel‑Hamas, Military analysis, Syria

Trump in the Middle East: Impacts, implications, and alternatives

May 16, 2025
virtualHouthis, Iran, Israel‑Hamas, Middle East, Yemen

Houthi conundrum: defend, degrade, or defer

March 28, 2024
virtualMiddle East, Iran, Israel‑Hamas, Israel‑Iran, Syria, Yemen

Keeping the U.S. out of war in the Middle East

January 16, 2024

Receive expert foreign policy analysis

Join the hub of realism and restraint

Expert updates and analysis to enhance your understanding of vital U.S. national security issues

Defense Priority Mono Logo

Our mission is to inform citizens, thought leaders, and policymakers of the importance of a strong, dynamic military—used more judiciously to protect America’s narrowly defined national interests—and promote a realistic grand strategy prioritizing restraint, diplomacy, and free trade to ensure U.S. security.

Defense Priorities Foundation is a 501(c)(3) non-profit organization supported entirely by American individuals and foundations—no funding comes from the U.S. government or any foreign government. Donations are unlimited and deductible for Federal Income Tax purposes.

  • Experts
  • Papers
  • Symposia
  • Q&A
  • Polls
  • Events
  • Media
  • Terms and Conditions
  • Privacy Policy
  • About
  • Jobs
  • Contact
  • Donate
© 2026 Defense Priorities Foundation. All rights reserved.