Defense Priorities Defense Priorities
  • Policy Topics
    • Ukraine-Russia
    • NATO
    • China
    • Syria
    • Israel-Iran
  • Research
    • Briefs
    • Explainers
    • Reports
  • Programs
    • Grand Strategy Program
    • Military Analysis Program
    • Asia Program
    • Middle East Program
  • Experts
  • Events
  • Media
  • About
    • Mission & Vision
    • People
    • Jobs
    • Contact
  • Donate
Select Page
Home / Israel-Iran / LTE: Regime change in Tehran isn’t worth the risk
Israel‑Iran, Iran, Middle East

July 15, 2025

LTE: Regime change in Tehran isn’t worth the risk

By Daniel DePetris

Seth Cropsey writes that the only way to resolve the Iranian nuclear issue is by overthrowing Ayatollah Ali Khamenei (“The Perfect Time for Regime Change in Iran,” op-ed, July 9). Yet this recommendation is based more on hope than good sense. Such efforts in Iraq, Afghanistan and Libya—all of which created more problems for the U.S. than they solved, at a higher cost than anticipated—inspire no confidence that a similar campaign in an even larger country would be any different.

Decapitating the Iranian regime sounds manageable if it weren’t for the risks, including unleashing the infighting between various domestic constituencies that we saw in Iraq. The difference is that the fallout to regional stability would likely be greater today. Even in its weakened state, Iran has more capacity to inflict problems than Saddam Hussein ever had, leading to the possibility of U.S. troops being deployed to stabilize any flare ups.

Read at Wall Street Journal

Author

Photo of Daniel DePetris

Daniel
DePetris

Fellow

Defense Priorities

More on Middle East

op-edAfghanistan, China, Middle East, Russia

Washington shouldn’t fear Russia and China seeking influence in Afghanistan

By Lyle Goldstein

August 9, 2025

op-edMiddle East, Grand strategy, Israel

The Trump Administration’s Lebanon Quandary

By Daniel DePetris

August 7, 2025

op-edIsrael‑Hamas, Israel, Middle East

Only U.S. leverage can stop the horror in Gaza

By Adam Gallagher

July 31, 2025

In the mediaMiddle East, Israel

Has Gaza tested the limits of Donald Trump’s support for Benjamin Netanyahu?

Featuring Jennifer Kavanagh

July 30, 2025

op-edIsrael‑Hamas, Israel, Middle East

What does Trump really want in Gaza?

By Daniel DePetris

July 30, 2025

In the mediaIsrael‑Hamas, Israel, Middle East

Why Trump has little interest in delivering a ceasefire in Gaza

Featuring Rosemary Kelanic

July 30, 2025

Events on Israel-Iran

See All Events
virtualMiddle East, Grand strategy, Israel‑Iran

Past Virtual Event: Does the Middle East still matter?

February 6, 2024
virtualMiddle East, Iran, Israel‑Hamas, Israel‑Iran, Syria, Yemen

Past Virtual Event: Keeping the U.S. out of war in the Middle East

January 16, 2024
in-personMiddle East, Counterterrorism, Israel‑Iran

Past In-Person Event: Recalibrating Middle East policy

November 27, 2018

Receive expert foreign policy analysis

Join the hub of realism and restraint

Expert updates and analysis to enhance your understanding of vital U.S. national security issues

Defense Priority Mono Logo

Our mission is to inform citizens, thought leaders, and policymakers of the importance of a strong, dynamic military—used more judiciously to protect America’s narrowly defined national interests—and promote a realistic grand strategy prioritizing restraint, diplomacy, and free trade to ensure U.S. security.

  • About
  • For Media
  • Jobs
  • Donate
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms and Conditions
  • Contact
© 2025 Defense Priorities All Right Reserved