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Home / US-Israel-Iran / It’s unclear what threat Iran actually poses
US‑Israel‑Iran, Iran, Middle East

February 28, 2026

It’s unclear what threat Iran actually poses

By Daniel DePetris

Donald Trump has urged Iranians to ‘take over’ their government after the United States and Israel struck targets across the country. A multitude of Iranian military and government targets were hit by missiles in what is turning out to be a joint operation far more comprehensive than the 12-day air campaign last June. Back then, Trump’s objectives were limited: degrade Iran’s three largest nuclear facilities. This time, Trump’s eyes are on a bigger prize—a full-scale decapitation of the Iranian leadership and a degradation of Tehran’s military power.

“We are going to destroy their missiles and raze their missile industry to the ground,” Trump said in a short address an hour before the U.S. airstrikes occurred. “We’re going to annihilate their navy. We’re going to ensure that the region’s terrorist proxies can no longer destabilise the region or the world and attack our forces..And we will ensure that Iran does not obtain a nuclear weapon.”

Not be outdone, Trump also urged the Iranian people to take advantage by reclaiming their country and overthrowing their own government. The implication being that the United States will soften up the Islamic Republic to the point where it will fall like a house of cards.
Key power centres have already been struck in the initial hours, from the Iranian parliament and Ministry of Intelligence to the president’s office. This suggests that regime-change is Trump’s paramount objective. Who or what authority would take over once the clerics leave, or whether the airpower alone will be enough to bring the Iranian government down—history is unsympathetic on that score—are a set of questions no policymaker or analyst can confidently predict.

Read at Spectator

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