Defense Priorities Defense Priorities
  • Policy Topics
    • Ukraine-Russia
    • Israel-Hamas
    • NATO
    • China
    • Syria
    • North Korea
  • Research
    • Briefs
    • Explainers
    • Reports
  • Programs
    • Grand Strategy Program
    • Military Analysis Program
    • Asia Program
    • Middle East Program
  • Experts
  • Events
  • Media
  • About
    • Mission & Vision
    • People
    • Jobs
    • Contact
  • Donate
Select Page
Home / Grand strategy / America stands to lose in a Middle East World War
Grand strategy, Houthis, Middle East

January 15, 2024

America stands to lose in a Middle East World War

By Geoff LaMear

Amid last Thursday’s strikes against Houthi rebels in Yemen, the assassination of a Hamas leader in Lebanon and the possibility of an escalation in the Israel-Hamas war, the United States should disentangle itself from the current conflict. Potential quagmires await from confronting Iranian proxies in Iraq, Syria, Yemen, and Lebanon, and American interests would be harmed by misadventures in these places.

The U.S. has been recycling the same playbook since 2019 in dealing with Iranian proxies: sanction them, conduct strikes, and wait for the ensuing blowback. Since October 17, there have been 134 attacks on American personnel. The lack of fatalities has helped keep escalation low, but circumstances and not prudence have shaped this outcome.

If American troops are to be anything other than bait for rocket attacks, they cannot be left in this tenuous position. Iran’s grip on militias in Iraq effectively gives them tens of thousands of loyal fighters, who can be equipped with advanced drones and missiles in short order. The JV squad may not be able to harm U.S. troops, but Iran has a plethora of more advanced systems in reserve that it can disperse if conditions merit their use.

American troops, with limited air defense coverage in the Syrian desert, would pay the price.

Read at The American Conservative

Author

Photo of Geoff Lamear

Geoff
LaMear

Contributing Fellow

Defense Priorities

More on Middle East

op-edSyria, Middle East

The US must restrain itself from being too involved in Syria’s redevelopment

By Daniel DePetris

June 10, 2025

In the mediaHouthis, Iran, Middle East, Military analysis, Naval power

Red Sea passage remains a no-go for shipping despite U.S. action

Featuring Jennifer Kavanagh

June 5, 2025

op-edGrand strategy, Houthis, Iran, Middle East, Syria

Under Donald Trump, Restraint Is Winning

By Alexander Langlois

June 4, 2025

In the mediaIran, Middle East

Iran does not accept the US proposal. The US does not accept Iran’s request. What is the third way?

Featuring Rosemary Kelanic

June 3, 2025

op-edIran, Middle East, Nuclear weapons

The False Binary at the Heart of Trump’s Iran Strategy

By Rosemary Kelanic

June 2, 2025

op-edMiddle East, Iran, Israel‑Hamas, Yemen

Trump needs to stop involving himself in Middle East drama

By Christopher McCallion

May 29, 2025

Events on Grand strategy

See All Events
virtualGreat power competition, Balance of power, China, Grand strategy, Middle East

Past Virtual Event: U.S.-China competition and the value of Middle East influence

June 10, 2025
virtualChina, Alliances, Balance of power, Diplomacy, Grand strategy, Russia

Past Virtual Event: China-Russia: Cooperation or a no-limits alliance?

April 3, 2025
virtualSyria, Balance of power, Basing and force posture, Counterterrorism, Middle East, Military analysis

Past Virtual Event: Syria after Assad: Prospects for U.S. withdrawal

February 21, 2025

Receive expert foreign policy analysis

Join the hub of realism and restraint

Expert updates and analysis to enhance your understanding of vital U.S. national security issues

Defense Priority Mono Logo

Our mission is to inform citizens, thought leaders, and policymakers of the importance of a strong, dynamic military—used more judiciously to protect America’s narrowly defined national interests—and promote a realistic grand strategy prioritizing restraint, diplomacy, and free trade to ensure U.S. security.

  • About
  • For Media
  • Jobs
  • Donate
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms and Conditions
  • Contact
© 2025 Defense Priorities All Right Reserved