Such concerns might prompt Mr. Trump to decide that military prudence requires “inserting U.S. ground forces and getting involved in some kind of regime change operation,” says Rosemary Kelanic, director of the Middle East program at Defense Priorities think tank.
That would increase the risk of “a broader and deeper pulling in of American military forces into a conflict that involves U.S. troops on the ground,” she says.
“The thinking is that an Iran so beset by internal problems—a basket case like Libya is today—wouldn’t be able to go back and race for a bomb after all this,” adds Dr. Kelanic.
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