February 19, 2024
While Israel continues the war in Gaza, another war looms
This week, U.S., Israeli, Egyptian, and Qatari officials met in Cairo to continue discussions on how to hammer out a truce in Gaza. As one might expect, getting Israel and Hamas onboard a plan they can both accept is turning out to be the diplomatic equivalent of the world’s most painful root-canal. President Joe Biden has told Americans that he’s working around the clock to cement a deal that stops the fighting, frees the rest of the hostages in Hamas’ custody, and increases humanitarian aid shipments into the coastal enclave.
The wrench in the gears is that everybody at the table has a different interpretation of a good deal. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu‘s government has offered Hamas a six-week cessation of hostilities and more Palestinian prisoner releases in exchange for the remaining hostages, numbered at 136. Hamas is willing to release the hostages, but only on its terms. The Islamist group came back with a draft proposal of its own, a three-stage plan that would be implemented over a period of four and a half months and result in Israel releasing hundreds of Palestinian prisoners (including senior militants), withdrawing from Gaza and ending the war permanently. Netanyahu strongly opposed Hamas’ framework, calling it “delusional.”
It’s not a surprise that the talks in Egypt adjourned without significant movement. That’s the bad news. The good news is that despite what looks like an imminent Israeli military offensive into the southern Gaza city of Rafah, where more than half of the entire territory’s population now resides, talks haven’t broken down yet.
For the sake of Gaza’s people, one can only hope the negotiations succeed. Success could also have a positive effect on another conflict more than 100 miles to the north, where the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) and Hezbollah have been shooting at each other nearly every day for more than four months. On Feb. 14, Hezbollah fired rockets near the Israeli city of Safed, killing one. The Israelis responded immediately, launching airstrikes on multiple Hezbollah positions in southern Lebanon. Hezbollah’s attack came days after Israel attempted to assassinate a Hezbollah commander as he was driving in his car.
Author
Daniel
DePetris
Fellow
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