Defense Priorities Defense Priorities
  • Policy Topics
    • US-Israel-Iran
    • Ukraine-Russia
    • Western Hemisphere
    • NATO
    • China
    • Syria
  • Analysis
    • Research
    • Q&A
  • Programs
    • Grand Strategy Program
    • Military Analysis Program
    • Asia Program
    • Middle East Program
  • Experts
  • Events
  • Media
  • About
    • Mission & Vision
    • People
    • Jobs
    • Contact
  • Donate
Select Page
Home / US-Israel-Iran / No one can predict how the U.S. war with Iran will unfold
US‑Israel‑Iran, Iran, Middle East

March 2, 2026

No one can predict how the U.S. war with Iran will unfold

By Daniel DePetris

Last week, during his State of the Union address on Tuesday and again on Friday, just before launching Operation Epic Fury, Donald Trump laid out his case for attacking Iran.

The U.S. president offered a lengthy bill of indictment against Iran’s Islamic Republic, stretching back to the 1979 revolution: the takeover of the American embassy in Tehran, support for terrorism, brutality towards its citizenry, and support for proxies that have killed Americans.

Above all, Trump stressed the peril the U.S. and its allies would face were Iran to build nuclear bombs. Despite the absence of confirming intelligence, he claimed that it would soon possess a missile that could reach the American homeland.

Despite this litany of complaints and his characterization of Iran’s government as “evil”, Trump sent his envoys to Geneva to negotiate with Tehran about its nuclear program. After three rounds, Trump tired of diplomacy and blamed the Iranians for refusing to say the magic words: Iran will not become a nuclear weapons state. In fact, senior Iranian officials have done so time and again. “Iran will under no circumstances ever develop nuclear weapons,” Iranian foreign minister Abbas Araghchi tweeted on 24 February.

Read at The Guardian

Author

Photo of Daniel DePetris

Daniel
DePetris

Fellow

Defense Priorities

More on Middle East

Op-edUS‑Israel‑Iran, Alliances, Iran, Middle East, NATO

Trump’s ‘Art of the Deal’ Is Losing Friends and Alienating Allies

By Daniel DePetris

April 2, 2026

In the mediaUS‑Israel‑Iran, Iran, Israel, Israel‑Iran, Middle East

Trump seeks to redefine ‘regime change’ in Iran war

Featuring Rosemary Kelanic

April 1, 2026

Op-edUS‑Israel‑Iran, Iran, Middle East

The Iran War is the Culmination of Washington’s Foreign Policy Pathologies

By Christopher McCallion

April 1, 2026

In the mediaUS‑Israel‑Iran, Iran, Israel‑Iran, Middle East

Trump might end his war—but the rest of the world may pay the price

Featuring Rosemary Kelanic

April 1, 2026

Op-edUS‑Israel‑Iran, Iran, Middle East

Trump risks falling in to the ‘asymmetric resolve’ trap in Iran—just as presidents before him did elsewhere

By William Walldorf

April 1, 2026

Q&AAlliances, Europe and Eurasia, Iran, NATO

How will the war in Iran impact U.S.-Europe relations?

By Thomas P. Cavanna

March 31, 2026

Receive expert foreign policy analysis

Join the hub of realism and restraint

Expert updates and analysis to enhance your understanding of vital U.S. national security issues

Defense Priority Mono Logo

Our mission is to inform citizens, thought leaders, and policymakers of the importance of a strong, dynamic military—used more judiciously to protect America’s narrowly defined national interests—and promote a realistic grand strategy prioritizing restraint, diplomacy, and free trade to ensure U.S. security.

  • Research
  • Experts
  • About
  • For Media
  • Jobs
  • Donate
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms and Conditions
  • Contact
© 2026 Defense Priorities Foundation. All rights reserved.