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Home / Grand strategy / A costly distraction: U.S.–China competition in the Middle East
Grand strategy, Asia, China, Great power competition, Middle East

October 22, 2025

A costly distraction: U.S.–China competition in the Middle East

The United States continues to allocate substantial military and diplomatic resources to counter Chinese influence in the Middle East. However, Beijing has shown little interest in assuming a dominant security role in the region, raising doubts about the effectiveness of framing U.S. engagement through the lens of great-power competition. As policymakers debate the United States’ global commitments, a critical assessment of the rationale, risks, and opportunity costs of current U.S. policy in the Middle East is necessary.

This forum will bring together leading experts to examine China’s core regional interests, the risks of overstating China’s ability and desire to dominate the Middle East, and opportunities to better align U.S. force posture with actual interests in the region.

Join us at the Cato Institute for a timely conversation on the future of U.S. strategy in the Middle East.

Read at Cato

Featuring

Rosemary
Kelanic

Director, Middle East Program

Defense Priorities

Jennifer
Kavanagh

Senior Fellow & Director of Military Analysis

Defense Priorities

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