“The United States learned this the hard way during previous regime change operations in Afghanistan, Iraq, and Libya, where early tactical achievements failed to produce strategic success and instead paved the way for expensive occupations and unintended consequences,” said Daniel DePetris of Defense Priorities, a research institute that favors restraint in foreign policy. “A split in the Venezuelan military, an expansion of criminal groups in the country, civil war, and the emergence of an even worse autocrat are all possible scenarios. None of these would bode well for regional stability or U.S. interests in its sphere of influence.”
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