December 2, 2025
Attacking Venezuela would be a giant mistake
Key Points and Summary – The “Ledeen Doctrine”—the neoconservative idea that the U.S. must periodically crush a small nation to demonstrate power—appears to be guiding a new potential conflict with Venezuela.
The Buildup: The USS Gerald R. Ford and a massive naval task force have arrived in the Caribbean, signaling the most significant buildup since the Cuban Missile Crisis.
The Target: Unlike past interventions, Venezuela is a substantial adversary with state militias, 31 million people, and a regime that retains key loyalty, making a “smooth transition” unlikely.
The Risk: An attack risks triggering a massive refugee crisis, empowering China in the region, and destroying what remains of U.S. soft power in Latin America.
More on Western Hemisphere
February 26, 2026
February 24, 2026
Featuring Rosemary Kelanic
February 16, 2026
Featuring Benjamin Friedman and Daniel DePetris
February 13, 2026
Featuring Lyle Goldstein
February 11, 2026
Featuring Daniel DePetris
February 11, 2026
