March 26, 2026
What comes next? Three attack scenarios as U.S. sends thousands more troops to Middle East
Retired U.S. Army Lt. Col. Daniel Davis estimated that there were likely only around 4,000 to 5,000 “trigger pullers” or ground troops being deployed.
Davis said that, from the limited number of ground troops being deployed, there were three possibilities that the U.S. could theoretically execute.
The first possibility is seizing Qeshm Island, which sits “in the horseshoe bend of the Strait of Hormuz,” Davis said.
Davis said the second target could be Kharg Island, the centerpiece of Iran’s oil industry, while a third scenario is a raid to capture more than 400 kilograms of reprocessed material, provided the U.S. can locate this and it is sufficiently concentrated to make a raid viable.
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