April 15, 2026
Trump’s Hormuz blockade unlikely to draw China into Iran war
Lyle Goldstein, the director of Defense Priorities’ Asia Program, claimed that China views the war as “quite disruptive to its economy and also its diplomatic plans.”
“It’s true that China is better insulated from most countries in Asia from the oil shock due to deeper reserves, better balance of energy sources, and also diverse suppliers, including especially Russia that has long wanted to send more oil to China,” Goldstein wrote in a statement. “But overall, of course, China sees this vast instability throughout the Middle East as very disruptive.”
But even with those concerns, Goldstein and others caution that disruption alone is unlikely to prompt Chinese intervention.
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