December 17, 2025
Trump’s ‘Article 5-Lite’ for Ukraine is dead end, new report warns
Against that backdrop, Jennifer Kavanagh, director of military analysis at Defense Priorities, a Washington think tank, is advancing a different postwar model: Armed nonalignment—a framework that trades formal guarantees for a self-defense strategy backed by sustained but conditional Western support.
“Determining arrangements for Ukraine’s postwar security will be a critically important element of a negotiated end to the Russia-Ukraine war,” Kavanagh said. Any lasting settlement, she argued, must address Kyiv’s fear of renewed Russian aggression while also accounting for Moscow’s opposition to NATO expansion and the political and resource constraints facing the United States and Europe.
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