Defense Priorities Defense Priorities
  • Policy Topics
    • Venezuela
    • China
    • Israel-Hamas
    • Ukraine-Russia
    • NATO
    • Syria
  • Analysis
    • Research
    • Q&A
  • Programs
    • Grand Strategy Program
    • Military Analysis Program
    • Asia Program
    • Middle East Program
  • Experts
  • Events
  • Media
  • About
    • Mission & Vision
    • People
    • Jobs
    • Contact
  • Donate
Select Page
Home / Israel-Iran / Did decisive U.S. action restore deterrence—or has Washington simply been lucky?
Israel‑Iran, Middle East

October 16, 2025

Did decisive U.S. action restore deterrence—or has Washington simply been lucky?

Rosemary Kelanic of Defense Priorities acknowledged that the strikes were “not a win for restraint” in principle, and though the U.S. felt few repercussions, it was still a gamble.

“I think it’s really easy to learn the wrong lesson from this, which is, all we have to do is go in and bomb for 45 minutes and then everyone will back down,” she said. “Most of the time, U.S. military force doesn’t actually produce the outcomes that we want.”

 

Read at Fox News

Featuring

Rosemary
Kelanic

Director, Middle East Program

Defense Priorities

More on Middle East

op-edIsrael‑Hamas, Israel, Middle East

Stay cool, Mr Trump

By Daniel DePetris

November 5, 2025

op-edIsrael, Middle East

The Israel-Lebanon ceasefire is in danger of shattering

By Daniel DePetris

November 4, 2025

op-edMiddle East

A U.S.-Saudi Arabia security pact is a terrible idea

By Alexander Langlois

November 4, 2025

op-edIsrael‑Hamas, Israel, Middle East

There is no ceasefire in Gaza

By Alexander Langlois

October 31, 2025

op-edIsrael‑Hamas, Israel, Middle East

How Trump can avoid ‘owning’ Gaza

By William Walldorf

October 28, 2025

op-edMiddle East, Grand strategy, Israel, Israel‑Hamas

Now is not the time for new U.S. commitments to the Middle East

By William Walldorf

October 21, 2025

Events on Israel-Iran

See All Events
virtualMiddle East, Grand strategy, Israel‑Iran

Does the Middle East still matter?

February 6, 2024
virtualMiddle East, Iran, Israel‑Hamas, Israel‑Iran, Syria, Yemen

Keeping the U.S. out of war in the Middle East

January 16, 2024
in-personMiddle East, Counterterrorism, Israel‑Iran

Recalibrating Middle East policy

November 27, 2018

Receive expert foreign policy analysis

Join the hub of realism and restraint

Expert updates and analysis to enhance your understanding of vital U.S. national security issues

Defense Priority Mono Logo

Our mission is to inform citizens, thought leaders, and policymakers of the importance of a strong, dynamic military—used more judiciously to protect America’s narrowly defined national interests—and promote a realistic grand strategy prioritizing restraint, diplomacy, and free trade to ensure U.S. security.

  • Research
  • Experts
  • About
  • For Media
  • Jobs
  • Donate
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms and Conditions
  • Contact
© 2025 Defense Priorities All Right Reserved